Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004336 0.004565 0.004801 0.005062 0.005343 0.005637 0.005968
2025-08-24 0.003924 0.004261 0.004623 0.005042 0.005515 0.006035 0.006654
2025-08-31 0.003654 0.004049 0.004485 0.005006 0.005614 0.006307 0.007164
2025-09-07 0.003428 0.003859 0.004345 0.004939 0.005652 0.006487 0.007553
2025-09-14 0.003240 0.003694 0.004217 0.004868 0.005667 0.006628 0.007889
2025-09-21 0.003121 0.003601 0.004162 0.004875 0.005769 0.006869 0.008354
2025-09-28 0.002935 0.003416 0.003987 0.004721 0.005658 0.006832 0.008451
2025-10-05 0.002842 0.003339 0.003936 0.004718 0.005732 0.007029 0.008860
2025-10-12 0.002797 0.003319 0.003953 0.004797 0.005911 0.007368 0.009477
2025-10-19 0.002705 0.003233 0.003884 0.004760 0.005934 0.007497 0.009806
2025-10-26 0.002624 0.003159 0.003825 0.004732 0.005966 0.007636 0.010155
2025-11-02 0.002546 0.003086 0.003763 0.004697 0.005985 0.007754 0.010476
2025-11-09 0.002519 0.003077 0.003786 0.004777 0.006165 0.008111 0.011179
2025-11-16 0.002454 0.003017 0.003739 0.004758 0.006207 0.008271 0.011592
2025-11-23 0.002387 0.002952 0.003683 0.004726 0.006226 0.008394 0.011954
2025-11-30 0.002314 0.002876 0.003609 0.004664 0.006198 0.008446 0.012201
2025-12-07 0.002244 0.002802 0.003534 0.004598 0.006161 0.008480 0.012419
2025-12-14 0.002203 0.002767 0.003512 0.004605 0.006230 0.008680 0.012923
2025-12-21 0.002113 0.002661 0.003389 0.004462 0.006070 0.008514 0.012793
2025-12-28 0.002074 0.002625 0.003362 0.004459 0.006120 0.008679 0.013246
2026-01-04 0.002063 0.002627 0.003388 0.004532 0.006289 0.009042 0.014071
2026-01-11 0.002018 0.002579 0.003342 0.004498 0.006289 0.009130 0.014406
2026-01-18 0.001977 0.002538 0.003304 0.004472 0.006301 0.009238 0.014783